This alert expired on 7 August 2026 at 18:30 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
It is the 28th strongest of the 71 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 16 March 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 7 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 7 at 2:08PM EDT until August 7 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS State College PA
An estimated 128,814 people live within 50 km of this point.
Nearby, since 16 March 2026
- July 28, 2026 · score 43 · 3.4 km
- May 13, 2026 · score 43 · 9.1 km
- July 19, 2026 · score 43 · 9.7 km
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.
The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 37 / 100 |
| Our confidence | 80% |
| Coordinates | 40.1930, -77.1603 |
| Nearest City | Carlisle (3 km) |
| Population Exposed | 128.8K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-08-07T18:08:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.73ed21b88a65408ac71945e69c6f3294 |
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Severe Thunderstorm Warning |
| Urgency | Immediate |
| Certainty | Observed |
| AreaDesc | Cumberland, PA; Franklin, PA; Juniata, PA; Perry, PA; Snyder, PA; Lancaster, PA; York, PA |
| Headline | Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued August 7 at 2:08PM EDT until August 7 at 2:30PM EDT by NWS State College PA |
| Expires | 2026-08-07T14:30:00-04:00 |
| SenderName | NWS State College PA |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 4 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.73ed21b88a65408ac71945e69c6f32946fb810e6.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b294abf088e382d1de1f10b9947ce75b43b17da9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d29cc0a3a5588fde9a64fdb5ff2d8fbfaadd1d4b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d47d4e86842385fffd06c6e6950633801a9bb4a4.001.1"] |
Safety Information
Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
Want to know when something happens near Carlisle?
Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 37/100, near Carlisle (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.